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Recent debates and speeches... 2024 State of the Union speech (March 7, 2024) 5th GOP presidential primary debate (Jan. 10, 2024) 4th GOP presidential primary debate (Dec. 6, 2023) 3rd GOP primary debate (Nov. 8, 2023) 2nd GOP primary debate (Sept. 27, 2023) 1st GOP presidential debate (Aug. 23, 2023) 2023 presidential hopefuls 2023 State of the Union speech (Feb. 7, 2023) State of the State speeches (Jan. to March, 2023) State of the Union (March 1, 2022) State of the Union (April 28, 2021) 2020 Presidential prediction 2020 Senatorial prediction 2020 Gubernatorial prediction Presidential debate #3 (Oct. 22) Second presidential "debate" (Oct. 15) Vice presidential debate (Oct. 7) First presidential debate (Sept. 29) Town Halls: Trump (Sept. 15) and Biden (Sept. 17) Democratic & GOP Conventions (Aug 2020) Democratic Veepstakes (May-July 2020) N.H. Democratic debate (Feb. 7, 2020) CNN N.H. Town Hall (Feb. 5-6, 2020) State of the Union (Feb. 4, 2020) Iowa Democratic debate (Jan. 14, 2020) December Democratic debate (Dec. 19, 2019) Impeachment commentary (Dec. 18, 2019) November Democratic debate (Nov. 20, 2019) October Democratic debate (Oct. 15, 2019) CNN GLBT Democratic Town Hall (Oct. 10, 2019) Republican debate (Sept. 24, 2019) September Democratic debate (Sept. 12, 2019) Climate Change Town Hall (Sept. 4, 2019) July Democratic debate (July 30-31, 2019) June Democratic debate (June 26-27, 2019) 2019 State of the State speeches (Jan.-March, 2019) 2019 State of the Union speech (Feb. 6, 2019) 2018 State of the State speeches (Jan.-March, 2018) Recent books by... Former Gov. Mitt Romney (R, MA) No Apology Rep. Paul Ryan (R, WI) Young Guns Pres. Barack Obama The Audacity of Hope V.P. Joe Biden Promises to Keep Former Rep. Ron Paul End the Fed Former Pres. George W. Bush Decision Points Former Gov. 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After Super Tuesday, Nikki Haley withdrew, but will have 85 bound delegates at the Republican National Convention. Trump comes out Super Tuesday with 905 bound delegates out of 1,215 needed for the nomination. Pres. Biden will have no challengers in the remaining primaries, but a surprise candidate gained some delegates in the American Samoa primary. Biden comes out Super Tuesday with 1,573 bound delegates out of 1,968 needed for the nomination. Primary or caucus Donald Trump Nikki Haley Uncommitted Joe Biden Jason Palmer Uncommitted Before Super Tuesday: 207 45 12 241 0 100 AK-caucus 29 0 AL 50 0 52 0 7 AR 39 1 31 0 5 CA 169 0 424 0 70 CO 22 11 72 0 15 IA 40 0 6 MA 40 0 92 0 24 ME 20 0 24 0 8 MN 27 12 60 0 33 NC 58 10 116 0 17 OK 43 0 36 0 5 TN 58 0 63 0 7 TX 104 0 57 220 0 53 VA 39 6 99 0 20 AS-caucus 0 0 8 3 3 5 After Super Tuesday: 905 85 77 1,573 3 375 Source: The Green Papers for delegate counts Michigan & more early Primaries: Feb. 8-March 3, 2024 Trump and Biden down to one challenger each We list below the delegate counts for the early primaries and caucusesbecause the delegate counts are all that matter! Marianne Williamson withdrew after the Michigan primary, leaving Joe Biden with only Rep. Dean Phillips as a challenger. [But she "unsuspended" her campaign for Super Tuesday!] Vivek Ramaswamy and Gov. Ron DeSantis withdrew and endorsed Donald Trump, leaving only Gov. Nikki Haley as a challenger. Date Primary or caucus Donald Trump Nikki Haley Uncommitted Joe Biden Dean Phillips Uncommitted Before Feb. 8 IA/NH/SC/NV 32 19 12 91 0 13 Feb. 8 NV-caucus 26 0 36 0 13 Feb. 8 VI 4 0 Feb. 24 SC 47 3 Feb. 27 MI-primary 12 4 114 0 24 March 2 MI-caucus 54 0 March 2 DC 0 19 March 3 ID-caucus 32 0 50 Total Bound Delegate Count: 207 45 12 241 100 "Uncommitted" means "delegates who will attend the national convention but are not bound to one candidate" Vivek Ramaswamy and Ron DeSantis gained some bound delegates before withdrawing, but we count those as "uncommitted". Democratic uncommitted candidates: "superdelegates" or "PLEOs" (party leadership and elected officials) Republican uncommitted delegates are fewer than Dems’, and their convention is smaller too: The Republican number of delegates to clinch the nomination = 1,215 The Democratic number of delegates to clinch the nomination = 1,968 Source: The Green Papers for delegate counts South Carolina & Nevada Democratic Primaries: Feb. 3-6, 2024 South Carolina Republican Primary coming on Feb. 28; Nevada Republican caucus coming on Feb. 8 President Biden won his first REAL primarybecause the N.H. primary awarded no delegates, but the South Carolina and Nevada primaries do. The reason for Dean Phillips and Marianne Williamson to continue their campaigns is to gain some delegates so they have a voice at the summer convention. That didn’t happen in the SC or NV primary (but it DID happen for Nikki Haley in New Hampshire, and she’ll keep gaining delegates as long as she stays in the race). CANDIDATE S.C. VOTES S.C. PERCENT S.C. DELEGATES Nev. VOTES Nev. PERCENT Nev. DELEGATES Pres.Joe Biden 126,321 votes 96.2% 55 delegates 98,358 votes 89.3% 36 delegates Rep. Dean Phillips 2,726 votes 2.1% 0 delegates 3,173 votes 2.9% 0 delegates Marianne Williamson 2,239 votes 1.7% 0 delegates (not on ballot) 0 delegates The Republicans DID hold a primary in Nevada but it was a "beauty contest" where no delegates were awarded; the delegates will be awarded at a caucus on Feb. 8. Source: See additional Marianne Williamson issue...